2025 Super Bowl odds: Values ​​to consider, including CJ Stroud and the Texans

The 2023 NFL season is in the books, as the Kansas City Chiefs defeated the San Francisco 49ers 25-22 in overtime of Super Bowl LVIII. Picking Super Bowl sleepers last year was a fool’s errand, as Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce once again battled for their spot on the big stage and came out on top. Still, the NFL is full of surprises. Anything can happen next year.

Let’s take a look at the odds for Super Bowl LIX, and then break down five value picks that might be worth putting some money on right now.

Super Bowl Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

Houston Texans (+2200)

When it comes to Super Bowl sleepers, tying yourself financially to a young star quarterback is a good idea. I’m not saying CJ Strode is Mahomes, but he had a historic rookie season when Houston won the division, made the playoffs and won a playoff game despite being expected to be one of the worst teams in the league. First-year head coach DiMaco Ryans also deserves respect, as he immediately turned the defense around. Houston allowed the sixth-fewest rushing yards per game in 2023 while the Texans ranked last in that category in 2022.

Not long ago, the AFC South was viewed as one of the worst divisions in the NFL. Now, it is one of the most interesting.

New York Jets (+2500)

Possibly a polarizing pick here. The Jets almost looked cursed after Aaron Rodgers was injured a few plays into Week 1, and I don’t know how much faith I have in Robert Saleh, but it’s completely unbelievable that this Jets defense finished in the top three despite having zero offense. Imagine if they had an average offense to help. I love this Jets defense and they are absolutely ready to fight.

As for the offense, maybe Nathaniel Hackett’s system doesn’t inspire optimism, but this offense is built for Rodgers. Whatever you think of Rodgers, the bottom line is that he defies doubt. When Jordan Love was drafted in the first round by the Packers, Rodgers responded by winning two straight MVPs! Now, he’s switched teams and is coming off a torn Achilles at age 40. Plenty of people will be willing to count on it, so it’s a solid idea to support. The offensive line needs to be improved, but Brice Hall and Garrett Wilson are studs. The Jets will again make headlines — for better or for worse — in 2024.

Atlanta Falcons (+3000)

Let’s get a little wild. I thought Atlanta should target an offensive-minded head coach, but Raheem Morris is someone who really connects with his players, and I have no doubt this defense will be strong after a nice turnaround in 2023. There is the question of the quarterback. (Maybe Justin Fields ends up in Atlanta), but the Falcons have plenty of talented players who are really ready to be unlocked, such as Bijan Robinson, Kyle Peets and Drake London. New offensive coordinator Zach Robinson is going to have a chance to really shine.

The NFC South might be the worst division in the NFL, which helps Atlanta’s case. The Falcons also remain in the NFC, which could be beneficial as well. A quarterback is the biggest missing piece, but if they find a way to hit on one, the Falcons might be a Super Bowl sleeper.

Los Angeles Rams (+3500)

The Rams went 7-1 in their last eight regular-season games after starting the year 3-6. While they fell to the Lions in Super Wild Card weekend, they still had an impressive season. Matthew Stafford showed he’s still one of the best quarterbacks in the league, and then we were introduced to Kyren Williams and Puka Nacua as two of the best players at their position.

When the Rams had Stafford, Williams, Nacua and Cooper Kupp on the field this season, they went 6-2 with an average of 28.5 points per game, 398.9 yards per game and 6.8 yards per game. They had an impressive offensive attack. The defense has room to get better, but they had three different players record eight sacks, tied for second-most in the NFL. There is young talent on that side of the ball, and the front office can clearly draft.

Indianapolis Colts (+4500)

Yes, we already have the AFC South team listed above, but as we mentioned, the AFC South is one of the most interesting divisions. Interestingly enough, what is Anthony Richardson? He needs to stay healthy, but he has a cannon for an arm and can run the rock. What’s great is that he’s paired with Jonathan Taylor and Shane Steichen — who know how to scheme for the run.

Defensively, improvement is needed, but the Colts ranked fifth last season (51), and four different players recorded at least eight QB takedowns. By the way, all four are under contract for next season (Samson Ebukam, Qweti Pay, DeForest Buckner and Dayo Odeinbo). Yes, I like the Texans more, but I also have my eye on the Colts.

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