Buccaneers vs. Lions odds, line, time: 2024 NFL divisional round picks, playoff predictions by top-rated models

The division winners will meet on Sunday at Ford Field with a trip to the NFC Championship Game. The No. 4 seeded Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the NFC South and are 6-1 in their last seven games, including a Wild Card round win over the Philadelphia Eagles last week. The No. 3 seed Detroit Lions swept the Los Angeles Rams and won the NFC North. With a 7–2 record at home, the Lions are now 13–5 overall, including the playoffs.

Kickoff is at 3 p.m. ET in Detroit. For this game, the SportsLine consensus lists the Lions as six-point favorites, while Vegas thinks the over/under, or total number of points, is 49.5 in the latest Buccaneers vs. Lions odds. Before you make any Lions vs. Buccaneers picks, you need to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has bet over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL selections since its inception. The model enters the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs with an incredible 183-129 run on top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season. It is on a 37-21 roll on top-rated picks since Week 7 of last season and has had seven straight top-rated picks entering the 2024 NFL Playoffs.

The model ranked in the top 10 in straight-up NFL picks on NFL Pick’em in four of the last six years and beat out more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Whoever has followed it is very high.

Now, the model has turned its attention to Buccaneers vs. Lions with its picks and NFL predictions. You can head over to SportsLine now to see the model picks. Now, here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Buccaneers vs. Lions:

  • Buccaneers vs. Lions Spread: Lions -6
  • Buccaneers vs Lions Over/Under: 49.5 points
  • Buccaneers vs. Lions Money Line: Lions -273, Buccaneers +222
  • TB: Buccaneers are 8-1 against the spread in road games
  • DET: Lions are 5-4 against the spread in home games
  • Buccaneers vs. Lions Picks: Watch Picks on SportsLine
  • Buccaneers vs Lions Live Stream: Fubo (Try Free)

Why the Buccaneers Can Cover

The Buccaneers have shown growth throughout the season, headlined by an impressive effort against the Eagles last week. The end result was a 23-point loss to Philadelphia, the largest margin of victory for Tampa Bay since 2021. On offense, Baker Mayfield threw for 337 yards and three touchdowns with no interceptions. On defense, the Buccaneers held the occasionally dominant Eagles running game to 42 yards, the fewest for Philadelphia since 2018. Tampa Bay also held Philadelphia to an astonishing 0-11 on third down and fourth down.

On offense, Tampa Bay takes care of the ball at an elite level and has committed only 18 turnovers in 17 regular season games. The Buccaneers ranked No. 2 in fourth down efficiency (66.7%), while avoiding back-breaking mistakes throughout the season. On defense, the Buccaneers ranked 7th allowing just 19.1 points per game and gave up just 15.0 points per game while going 6-1 in this matchup. According to that sample, the Buccaneers allowed 86.7 rushing yards per game and finished in the top eight marks in rushing yards allowed per game (95.3) and per carry (3.8) during the regular season. Here’s a look at which team to pick.

why can lions cover

Former No. 2 overall pick Aidan Hutchinson headlines a Lions defense that has been playing well as the season has progressed. Hutchinson finished the regular season with 11.5 sacks, the most by any member of the Lions organization since 2017. Hutchinson also had two sacks in the wild card win over the Rams and is the first player since at least 2006 with two or more sacks and five or more quarterback hits in three consecutive games. Hutchinson leads a Lions defense that is also strong against the run. Detroit was No. 2 in the NFL in rushing yards allowed this season, giving up 88.8 per game and limiting opponents to 3.7 yards per carry.

The Lions were above the league average in completion rate allowed (63.1%), interceptions (16), and third down efficiency (37.1%) in 2023. In the first matchup against Tampa Bay this season, Detroit gave up just six points and 4.6 yards per play, holding the Bucs to their worst offensive performance of the season. Tampa Bay is also bad overall in several key offensive categories, headlined by having the NFL’s least efficient running game this season. The Buccaneers finished last in the league in yards per carry (3.4) and rushing yards per game (88.8) this season. Tampa Bay also scored only eight rushing touchdowns in 17 outings. Here’s a look at which team to pick.

How to Make Buccaneers vs. Lions Picks

SportsLine’s model leans under the point total, with no rusher projected to exceed 61 yards. The model also says that one side of the spread hits in more than 50% of the simulations. You can see the choice of models only on Sportsline.

So who wins Lions vs Buccaneers in the NFL playoffs 2024, and which side of the spread hits over 50% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Lions vs. Buccaneers you need to jump on on Sunday, rolling 183-129 on NFL Picks from all advanced models, and find out.

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