How to watch 49ers vs. Packers: Time, TV, live stream, key matchups, predictions for NFC Divisional Round game

Another week of the Green Bay Packers in the postseason creates another classic NFC playoff matchup. The seventh-seeded Packers became the youngest team (average age: 25 years, 214 days) to win a playoff game since the 1970 NFL/AFL merger after defeating the second-seeded Dallas Cowboys 48–32.

The postseason win was Green Bay’s 37th ever, tied with the New England Patriots in league history. On Saturday, the Packers will face the NFC’s top seed, the 12-5 San Francisco 49ers, which will mark the NFL-high 10th playoff contest between the two franchises.

The Niners, 36 playoff wins all-time and one behind the Packers, lead 5–4 in the all-time postseason series between these two historical giants with four consecutive postseason wins against Green Bay, all of which came under former Green Bay quarterback Aaron Came against Rodgers. Now, the Packers have a new pilot at the controls of their offense in 2020 first-round pick and first-year starter Jordan Love. He threw the second-most passing touchdowns (32) in the NFL regular season and helped the Packers win seven of their last nine games, including the playoffs, while throwing 21 touchdowns and only one interception in that span.

Love and 49ers starting quarterback Brock Purdy became the only two of five quarterbacks to throw for at least 30 touchdowns and 4,000 passing yards in his first season as a full-time NFL quarterback, joining elite company: Hall of Famers. Kurt Warner (1999), Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (2018) and Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert (2020).

In the wild-card round, the Packers handed the Cowboys their first home loss since Week 1 of the 2022 season, snapping a 16-game Dallas home winning streak. In the NFC Divisional Round, Green Bay would hand Kyle Shanahan his first home playoff loss as a head coach (4–0). The 2023 Packers are the only No. 7 seed to win a playoff game as teams were 0-6 in the first wild-card round since postseason expansion in 2020.

Will Green Bay become the first team to reach the conference championship game after a 3-6 or worse start (3-6 through Week 10) or will San Francisco advance to its fourth NFC title game in the last five seasons? Here’s an in-depth preview to examine that same question.

how to see

date: Saturday, January 20 Time: 8:15 PM ET
Place: Levi Stadium (Santa Clara, California)
TV:fox Stream: fubo (try free)
to follow: CBS Sports App
odds: 49ers -9.5; O/U 50.5

when the packers have the ball

The way love is going right now, anything is possible. The 49ers have the seventh-best pass rush in the league in terms of pressure rate (39.6%) and sacks (48, tied with several teams). During the Packers’ wins in seven of their last nine games, in which Love has thrown 21 touchdowns and one interception, he has been just as elite when the pressure is on.

Green Bay Packers head coach Matt LaFleur said after the game after the win over the Cowboys, “Man, Jordan Love. Wow. All I can say is, wow.” “What he did, the poise he shows, the command he shows. Touchdown pass to Dontavian Wicks, Obviously we were in an empty set. he had, i think it was [tight end] Tucker [Kraft],Maximum security. It was a great job by Tuck and the rest of our offensive line. And for him to hang in there and get that throw. Wicks took a brilliant catch. Those are things you can try to train, but what a fun moment it is for him. To me, that was a big-time game. It just shows the growth he’s made since his debut against KC. I am very proud and happy for him. He is, he is a man. He’s a real man.”

Love has eight touchdowns and no interceptions under pressure while averaging 8.6 yards per pass attempt. Over the course of the entire 2023 regular season, that figure would be the fifth-highest in the NFL. If San Francisco is not able to get the quarterback on the field while putting pressure on them, that is where they are in trouble. They throw at the fifth-lowest passing rate in the NFL (22%), yet they also give up the worst completion percentage (58%) and the seventh-most passing yards per attempt (6.6) when pressuring opposing quarterbacks this season. Are.

In Love’s last three games, at the Vikings, against the Bears and in the must-win Cowboys, he has generated a perfect passer rating (158.3) when pressured on 17 of 21 passing for 290 yards and four touchdowns. When pressured against the Cowboys on Sunday, Love was 5 of 7 for 152 yards and two touchdowns.

Third down, money down, love is equally good. Over the last nine games he has thrown 11 touchdowns and no interceptions on third down. This is also a weak situation for San Francisco as it ranks 24th in third-down conversion rate allowed (41%) this season.

There are opportunities for Green Bay on the ground, too. It does not appear so on the surface level. The 49ers allowed 89.7 rushing yards per game in the regular season, third-fewest in the NFL. However, this figure is largely influenced by San Francisco playing almost exclusively from forward in most of its games, forcing opponents to rely on throwing the football back.

San Francisco played the forward for 11 hours, 10 minutes and 20 seconds of playing time in the 18-week regular season. That’s the second-highest rate in the NFL, behind only the AFC’s top-seeded Baltimore Ravens (11:32:57) and the best rate in the NFC. When the 49ers actually had to defend the run, they were below average. Their run defense, with an expected 6.54 points added, ranked fourth lowest in the NFL. Their rush defense success rate – the rate of games in which less than 50% of the 10 yards required for a new first down were gained on first or second down and also did not pick up a first down rush on third or fourth down I went. –Was 53.9%, good for 19th in the league.

That’s music to Aaron Jones’ ears. Green Bay’s RB rushed for playoff career-highs 118 yards and three touchdowns on 21 carries against the Cowboys, an incredibly efficient 5.6 yards per carry. That output tied the NFL’s all-time records for rushing touchdowns in a road playoff game, rushing touchdowns in a wild-card round game and rushing touchdowns in a Packers postseason game. Jones’ seven career playoff rushing touchdowns are the most in Green Bay history.

Jones has rushed for over 100 yards in four consecutive games, tying with Ahman Green in 2003 for the longest such rushing streak in Packers history. It is also the longest active streak in the NFL at this time. Green Bay has some opportunities to punish San Francisco up front and hold its defense down the field.

when the 49ers have the ball

This game will be won in a battle between the Packers defense and 49ers offense. Love is playing lights-out football right now, and has shown the ability to make all throws from any arm angle, whether it’s in the pocket or rolling out. San Francisco has had an elite defense all year, but in Love’s current Rodgers rebirth situation, anything is possible.

The same can’t be said about the Packers defense going up against the 49ers’ third-ranked scoring offense (28.9 points per game). The Dallas offense that Green Bay faced last week was basically the CD Lamb show. After that, the Cowboys didn’t really have any other consistent offensive threat. That’s not the case with the 49ers. They are the first offense since the 2004 Indianapolis Colts – a group filled with three Pro Football Hall of Famers (QB Peyton Manning, RB Edgerrin James and WR Marvin Harrison) and a 2024 Hall of Fame finalist (WR Reggie Wayne) – to reach the 4,000-yard mark in Brock Purdy. There are four players with a passer and at least 1,000 scrimmage yards (RB Christian McCaffrey, WR Brandon Aiyuk, WR Deebo Samuel and TE George Kittle).

Four players with a 4,000-yard passer and 1,000 scrimmage yards – two previous examples

peyton manning

brock purdy

edgerin james

Christian McCaffrey

marvin harrison

brandon ayuk

reggie wayne

deebo samuel

Brandon Stockley

george kittel

Each of the five 49ers players above leads the league in a specific statistical category or two.

NFL leaders this season

qb brock purdy

Yards/Pass AT (9.6), Passer Rating (113.0)

RB Christian McCaffrey

Rush Yards (1,459), Scrimmage Yards (2,023), Scrimmage TDs (21)

WR Deebo Samuel

YAC/Catches Among WRs (8.8)

WR Brandon Aiyuk

Percentage of catches for first downs and/or TDs (81.3%)

TE George Kittle

Yards/catch among TEs (15.7)

The two biggest discrepancies for the Packers defense are McCaffrey and the 49ers’ passing game up the middle. McCaffrey was the wire-to-wire rushing champion (1,459 rushing yards) this season, leading a San Francisco ground game that was one of the best in the league. Meanwhile, the Packers have allowed opponents to rush for 140 or more yards in an NFL-worst eight games this season, tying the Seattle Seahawks and Cincinnati Bengals for the most such games allowed in 2023. This game may very well look a lot like the 2019 NFC Championship Game: a 37-20 blowout.

Some of those poor performances came against teams without competent passing attacks in games against the Atlanta Falcons (211 rushing yards), New York Giants (209), Pittsburgh Steelers (205) and Denver Broncos (145).

Rush this season (NFL ranks)

rush ypg

128.3 (28th)

140.5 (fourth)

yards/crowd

4.4 (23rd)

4.8 (fourth)

The 49ers could throw the football to one of their big-hitting targets mentioned above over the middle — the softest area of ​​Packers defensive coordinator Joe Barry’s zone-heavy defense. Green Bay has allowed 9 yards per pass attempt between the numbers this season, the highest figure in the league. On those same throws, Purdy averaged 9.8 yards per pass attempt, the best figure in the league, with a minimum of 150 such pass attempts. It is also the primary target of Shanahan’s offense as Purdy had the third-highest rate of pass attempts over the middle (56%) in 2023.

Running through the numbers this season (NFL ranks)

pass yard/at

9.0

9.8

nfl rank

Last

First*

*Min. 150 pass attempts

Prediction

Love dazzled again, keeping the Packers in the game until the end, as he had done in many games all year. He even throws the go-ahead touchdown pass just before the two-minute warning. However, Green Bay’s defense returned to its worst tendencies and played too far away from the line of scrimmage in zone coverage, allowing the 49ers to tie the game on a field goal with just under 40 seconds remaining. . Then, Love hit Romeo Doubs up the middle as he did all day in the wild-card round in Dallas to put kicker Anders Karlsson in position to kick the game-winning field goal as time expired.

choose: Packers 34, 49ers 31

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